Rail Utilization Verifiable Confirmation Report

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Rail Usage Factual Evidence Report 14 th August 2009

Background and Objectives Southeastern arrangement to cut 18 top and off pinnacle weekday prepare administrations and all weekend administrations from and to the Affected Areas* from and to the City** from December 2009. Accordingly, the Affected Areas won't have rail administrations to the City The cancelation of the prepare administrations is of awesome worry to the group in the Affected Areas as it will affect the improvement of the zone, house costs and future venture. Moreover it will affect the London economy. A request of to the Prime Minister in Number10.gov.uk was marked by more than 1200 individuals Following a meeting with the Department for Transport (DfT) it turned out to be obvious that suitable use and request considers for rail benefits along with the City from the Affected Areas were not accessible. It was concurred that an official choice on the amended timetable be deferred by six weeks to empower extra information to be gathered This report plots inquire about discoveries aggregated by the Malling and District Rail Travelers Association and the Maidstone Area Rail User Group in connection to their Keepourtrains battle, that show: (i) the present request; and (ii) the covered interest for prepare administrations from and to the Affected Areas into the City The overviews attempted regarding this report were directed amid July, generally a time of lessened utilization * The Affected Areas alluded to incorporates Maidstone, Barming, East Malling, West Malling, Kings Hill Borough Green, Larkfield, Snodland, Leybourne and Kemsing and all the encompassing zones ** The arranged cuts influence prepare benefits between Maidstone East and London Bridge, London Cannon Street and London Charing Cross

The Report The report incorporates: "The Current Demand Survey" A manual traveler tally of pinnacle time and off-pinnacle administrations from and to the Affected Areas from and to the City Objective: to demonstrate the present interest for the administrations This was completed amid July, a time of decreased use 73 trains were numbered Passengers on the trains were tallied by volunteers Counts were gone up against the prepare: after the prepare had left the last stop between the Affected Areas and London; and after the prepare had left the last stop amongst London and the Affected Areas (e.g. 08:53 from Maidstone to Charing Cross, tally after prepare left West Malling; 19:14 from Cannon Street to Maidstone, check after prepare left London Bridge) "The Concealed Demand Survey" An overview of prepare clients from the Affected Areas Objective: to demonstrate that if the administrations between the Affected Areas and the City were not all that poor there would be essentially more noteworthy request Research was done online between July ninth and August third 496 respondents finished the study

Understanding the Affected Areas Planned administration cuts influence prepare benefits between Maidstone East and London Bridge, London Cannon Street and London Charing Cross These cuts affect all suburbanites on the Maidstone East line; these incorporate, among others, workers from Bearsted, East Malling, West Malling, Snodland, Larkfield, Leybourne, Borough Green, Ightham, Kings Hill, Aylesford, Kemsing and encompassing ranges

Affected Areas as a Growth Point Maidstone has been assigned as: a development point by the Government a vehicle center point in the South East Plan As a major aspect of the development arrange, somewhere around 2006 and 2026 Maidstone should suit: 11,080 extra residences Between 5-10,000 extra employments There are ebb and flow arrangements to work around 5,000 additional homes in Kings Hill and the encompassing zones in the following 5 years Maidstone is the main significant town in the region to have a proposed diminishment in administrations Maidstone is the province town of Kent West Malling station is the quickest developing station in the South East of England (source: Passenger Focus)

Disproportionate Poor Services to the City from and to the Affected Areas The populace figures exhibit the spread of Kent's populace. The appropriation of prepare administrations is not all that even The proposed timetable will put assist strain on different lines as suburbanites are probably going to drive to stations with better administrations to the City Direct morning services* Maidstone: 3 Gillingham: 12 Tonbridge: 19 In one auto stop, 101 parking spots (40%) are possessed by workers from the Affected Areas There is one auto stop with a 3 year holding up rundown Based on Office National Statistics 2001 Census Data Direct morning administrations to the City are those that withdraw before 8:53 Current administrations into the City and the present timetable do no consider the noteworthy populace development in the Affected Areas since 2001. Specifically, the populace development and huge interest in Kings Hill

Trains into the City - Disparity of Services London Bridge is a key station for all City suburbanites. Most by far of trains into Cannon Street stop there and it is the essential London end in the south east of London for associations with the underground to Canary Wharf The primary direct prepare to London Bridge from Maidstone withdrawing from Maidstone East is the 08:53, ceasing at West Malling at 09:01 and touching base at London Bridge at 09:39 All adventures to London Bridge before the above require maybe a couple changes - either Otford/Sevenoaks or, for Maidstone's situation, Paddock Wood The normal trip time from Maidstone to London Bridge in the morning is 85 minutes, and 70 minutes from West Malling The main direct prepares to a London end near the City are the 06:15 and 06:52 Maidstone East administrations to London Blackfriars. Both trains stop at West Malling at 06:23 and 07:03 separately. Neither stop at London Bridge and these trains are moderate administrations By differentiation, before 08:53 there are 19 coordinate trains from Tonbridge to London Bridge. The primary prepare leaves at 04:56 and the normal adventure time is 39 minutes In north Kent, before 08:53 there are 12 coordinate trains from Gillingham to London Bridge. The main prepare leaves at 05:22 and the normal adventure time is 55 minutes * All prepare times are taken from the National Rail certify site – www.thetrainline.com

Trains from the City – Disparity of Services (somewhere around 16:29 and 19:36) There is stand out direct administration from London Bridge to West Malling and (Maidstone East). This is the 19:14 Cannon Street benefit. The normal voyage time from London Bridge to Maidstone for excursions began amid this time is 81 minutes. The normal excursion time from London Bridge to West Malling for adventures began amid this time is 69 minutes All different trips amid this time include maybe a couple changes, overwhelmingly at Sevenoaks/Otford or, for Maidstone's situation, Strood or Paddock Wood By complexity, there are 17 guide administrations from London Bridge to Tonbridge with a normal voyage time of 36 minutes There are 11 guide administrations from London Bridge to Gillingham with a normal excursion time of 62 minutes

Demand for Rail Services from and to the Affected Areas has Increased Considerably Based on station section and leave figures for 2006-7 and 2007-8 got from Passenger Focus Cancelation of administrations does not bode well when the stations in the Affected Areas are a portion of the quickest developing station in the South East of England

Current Usage Demand versus Hidden Demand Figures in this segment depend on a manual traveler tally amid July (commonly a time of lessened utilization). Figures demonstrated are midpoints of the numbers attempted. Where there are crevices this is on the grounds that we were not able do a mean that train* The report likewise alludes to 2005 information from the Strategic Rail Authority * The study was finished by volunteers and was embraced with no money related support from whatever other association. The study was led in an exceptionally restricted time window

Train Usage Throughout the Day – Mean Scores Traveling to London Traveling from London Based on traveler numbers – where no information is recorded, no trains were tested Survey done in July a time of diminished use (Passenger Focus gauges that use amid this period is around 15-20% lower) See Appendix 1

Train Usage Throughout the Day The present request review exhibits clear times of expanded request on administrations touching base in London by 10am, and withdrawing London after 4pm Based on traveler tallies and indicating 'smoothed line' with approximated figures supplanting spaces

Train Usage Throughout the Day Figures from our tally comprehensively mirror the use designs recorded by the SRA, in spite of the fact that the SRA outline underneath shows that use at 16:30 and 19:00 is around a large portion of that of the pinnacle. The red squares on the outline show the seasons of the trains with the heaviest traveler stacks between West Malling and London Bridge – these are the trains nearest to top utilization periods, yet are somewhere around one and two hours before or after the pinnacle time, with no quick London Bridge benefit amid the pinnacle time. Figure 3 from London Area Travel Survey by the Strategic Rail Authority (Feb 2005)

Concealed Demand Survey An online overview was finished by 496 suburbanites. The specimen was selected through verbal, online solicitations and connections through rail clients sites. The specimen is not illustrative of all workers or all subjects. Be that as it may, it gives a decent sign of worker request in the region

Nearest Station Of these, 69% for the most part drive from the station nearest to where they live. 31% need to go to another station Q1 – What is the name of the principle prepare station closest to your home? Base: All (496 respondents)

Station Commence Journey Demonstrates workers making a trip to stations past simple reach. Q2 – What is the name of the station that you begin your adventure from into London Base: All (496 res