NESDIS ORA PRESENTATION TO NWS PARTNERS WORKSHOP PRECIP, FLASH FLOODS AVIATION DEVELOPMENTS

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Up and coming Improvements to the Hydro-Estimator on AWIPS. Right now, the form of the H-E that is supplied to AWIPS uses GOES-12 (East) information just. Starting with an up and coming AWIPS upkeep discharge (before the end of FY 2004), GOES-10 (West) information will likewise be utilized and will enhance scope and exactness over the Western US.Related improvements:Areas of missing information will be separated from zones of

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Slide 1

NESDIS ORA PRESENTATION TO NWS PARTNERS WORKSHOP PRECIP, FLASH FLOODS & AVIATION DEVELOPMENTS Hank Drahos June 24, 2004 Hank.Drahos@noaa.gov http://www.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/index.html

Slide 2

Upcoming Improvements to the Hydro-Estimator on AWIPS Currently, the adaptation of the H-E that is provided to AWIPS utilizes GOES-12 (East) information as it were. Starting with a forthcoming AWIPS upkeep discharge (before the finish of FY 2004), GOES-10 (West) information will likewise be utilized and will enhance scope and precision over the Western US. Related changes: Areas of missing information will be separated from zones of no precipitation (at present both are shown by zero qualities); Coverage of the AWIPS item will likewise be stretched out into Canada.

Slide 4

Upcoming Improvements to the Hydro-Estimator on AWIPS because of a NWS ask for, a variant of the H-E for Hawaii is being created. Operational usage is expected in FY 2006. The NWS has additionally asked for H-E scope over Puerto Rico. Courses of action are being made for scope to be stretched out to Puerto Rico in a future AWIPS fabricate (the H-E is as of now accessible for Puerto Rico by means of the Web).

Slide 5

Upcoming Improvements to the Hydro-Estimator on AWIPS A recalibration of the H-E cloud beat temperature/precipitation rate bend has been started. Fusing lightning information into H-E and the Hydro-Nowcaster.

Slide 6

GOES 12 10.7 m IR Flash surge creating rainstorm over the Washington DC Metropolitan Region with 5 minute cloud to ground lightning superimposed: June 17, 2004 at 7:00 PM

Slide 7

Three hour Nowcasts for July 1, 2002, 0600 - 0900 UTC Hydro - Nowcaster [inches] Stage III

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Current Capabilities Images (Vis, IR, WV) Fog (11-4 m) Volcanic Ash (11-12 m; GOES-10 just) Sounder items Cloud Top Height Lifted Index Soundings Microburst Indices (Wind Index, MDPI) Potential Upgrades * Low Cloud Base ** Aircraft Icing Ozone (CAT potential) Global cloud tops Volcanic powder (GOES-12 through 15) ** Wet Microburst Potential Index GOES Aviation Products on AWIPS * None on current AWIPS Build plans ** Supported by NWS

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GOES-10 LCB – 27 Aug 2002/1300Z http://www.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/opdb/avionics/fog.html GOES Low Cloud Base Product Shows where low roofs & mist are likely Based on GOES IR – surface temperature Verification (bring down 48) POD ~ 72% FAR ~ 11% Low mists might be darkened by cirrus

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< 6 kft < 12 kft < 18 kft < 24 kft GOES "ICECAP" Product http://www.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/opdb/flying/icg.html GOES Aircraft Icing Potential Shows likely territories of supercooled mists + cloud beat statures Uses Imager IR & Visible + Sounder Not ready to identify SLD (Supercooled Large Drop) icing Cirrus obscuration

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U. Of Wisconsin – CIMSS http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/realtime/grtmain.html Full Disk Cloud Top Image Global cloud beat scope Uses new 13.3 m IR on GOES-12+ More exact cloud best statures for volcanic cinder crest

Slide 12

GOES Ozone Product High ozone levels are found in tropopause "folds" close upper level fronts Correlate with clear air turbulence CIMSS ozone item got from Sounder CIMSS Ozone Product http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/realtime/grtmain.html#ozone

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