Asset Arranging or how would we guarantee that we have enough limit and vitality to address part issues ?

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Vitality just market. Be that as it may, limit assets

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Slide 1

Asset Planning or how would we guarantee that we have enough limit and vitality to address part issues ? Stan Selander Senior Resource Strategist

Slide 2

Timeframes Real time/day ahead (RT/DA) Year (for MISO Capacity) Long term (LT)

Slide 3

DA/RT time span Energy just market But limit assets "must offer" Automated estimating apparatuses, changed by judgment Load offer into MISO vitality advertise Generation offered into MISO vitality showcase MISO dispatches ALL assets important to meet total load prerequisites

Slide 4

GRE's long haul asset arranging 10 to 30 years into future System conjecture by asset arranging Plan era to a 50 th percentile request figure, 50 th percentile vitality gauge Resources arranged/dispatched to serve GRE stack

Slide 5

Long-Range Planning Process New & Existing Resource Characteristics (Capacities, Heat Rates, Emissions, Energy Patterns, Forced & Maintenance Outage Rates, Fixed and Variable Costs, Construction Costs) Externality Values Forecasts Forecast of Residential Consumers Historical Weather Data Financial Assumptions (Discount and Inflation Rates) Fuel Price Forecasts Historical Load Data Long-Range Load Forecast (Econometric Energy & Demand) Complete Spring Long-Range Financial Forecast (LRFF) (Wholesale Power Rates) Complete Fall Capacity Expansion Plan (IRP) Complete Summer Transmission Plans Financial Assumptions (Discount & Inflation, Rates, Margin & Dept Service Coverage, Interest Income) Overhead (Labor, Depreciation, Interest, Taxes & Insurance) MISO Interaction Each rectangle speaks to a procedure. Every shading speaks to real contributions to the following procedure.

Slide 6

1. Conjecture Member Needs 4. Redesign/Maintain Integrated Resource Plan and Strategy 2. Break down Market 3. Make Resource Options Resource arranging process Key inquiries: Member prerequisites after some time? Control showcase advancements & suggestions? Choices accessible? General procedure?

Slide 7

Resource Planning Process 1. Estimate Member Needs 1. Figure Member Needs 1. Estimate Member Needs 1. Gauge Member Needs 1. Estimate Member Needs 1. Conjecture Member Needs 4. Overhaul/Maintain 4. Redesign/Maintain 4. Redesign/Maintain 4. Upgrade/Maintain 4. Redesign/Maintain 2. Break down Market 2. Examine Market 2. Break down Market 2. Break down Market GRE Resource GRE Resource the Integrated 2. Break down Market 2. Break down Market GRE Resource GRE Resource Strategy Resource Plan Strategy 3. Make Resource Options 3. Make Resource Options 3. Make Resource Options 3. Make Resource Options 3. Make Resource Options 3. Make Resource Options External impacts Market Impacts Fuel Costs Environmental Policies Renewable Energy Requirements Generation Costs Efficiency Requirements

Slide 8

Capacity overflow/deficiency

Slide 9

2010 asset development arrange

Slide 10

2010 asset extension arrange

Slide 11

Resource expansion timetable Sizes speak to conceivable organizations or buy contracts 200 MW wind 230 MW middle of the road 175 MW cresting CN Reg. Recording CN Reg. Documenting 2012 Resource Plan Filing 2 yr lead time 200 MW wind 3 yr lead time IRP Self-Serve Model Module E CN Reg. Recording 100 MW wind 200 MW baseload 7 – 8 yr lead time CN = Certificate of Need

Slide 12

Energy

Slide 13

MISO Source: MISO July 2009 Monthly Report July 2009 MISO – 50,911 GWh GRE – 1,094 GWh (≈ 2% of MISO)

Slide 14

Conclusions GRE's asset arranging depends on part figures of interest and vitality The MISO market is a fleeting vitality advertise and a one-year limit market GRE's asset plan depends on long haul prerequisites to serve individuals' needs

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